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Roman Udot "Elections in Figures. Using Open Data to Detect Falsification"

Two-Humped Moscow
Roman Udot
/ Categories: Articles by geography, Russia, Moscow (city of), Chechen (Republic of), Unimodality, Retrospective Analysis, Examples and guidelines, Examples and guidelines, Verdict of Electoral.Graphics, Videos

Two-Humped Moscow

Histogram Generator video lesson

We confirm the falsifications with histograms.
After 7 years we can see the falsifications that caused people to take to the streets of Moscow, protesting against rigged elections.
Comparison of voting data in Moscow in 2011, 2012 and 2016, as well as in the Chechen Republic;

For you, researchers:

The electoral data of all the elections from this article has been uploaded into the Lab . Now, you can see the elections with your own eyes™.
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Tags: FalsificationsRF President 2012RF Duma 2016RF Duma 2011Investigation
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Elections in the article

Russia, State Duma 2016

Details
Official title:

Election of deputies to the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation of the seventh convocation

Winner/leader:

The All-Russian political party "UNITED RUSSIA"

Wikipedia article:

Elections to the State Duma (2016)

Lab Note:

Data uploaded to Tools first version (v 1.0)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of the RF
URL of the source:www.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom?action=show&global=1&vrn=100100067795849®ion=0&prver=0&pronetvd=0
Data validation fileRussa_Parliament_2016.pdf
Verification of the dataset with the source:

no data available

in the Lab
Electoral Dossier

In the dossier

  • Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018
  • Alexander Shen "What mathematical statistics can't say"
  • Two-Humped Moscow
  • Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of a smoker
  • Getting "Saratov 62%" with our own hands

Russia, President 2012

Details
Official title:

Election of the President of the Russian Federation

Winner/leader:

Putin Vladimir Vladimirovich

Wikipedia article:

Presidential elections in Russia (2012)

Lab Note:

Data loaded in Tools version 1.0 only

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of The RF
URL of the source:www.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom?action=show&global=1&vrn=100100031793505®ion=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null
Data validation fileRussia_President_2012.pdf
in the Lab
Electoral Dossier

In the dossier

  • Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018
  • Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"
  • Alexander Shen "What mathematical statistics can't say"
  • Two-Humped Moscow
  • Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of a smoker

Russia, State Duma 2011

Details
Official title:

Election of deputies to the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation of the sixth convocation

Winner/leader:

The All-Russian political party "UNITED RUSSIA"

Wikipedia article:

State Duma elections (2011)

Lab Note:

Elections are available in the First Version Tools (v 1.0)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC OF the RF
URL of the source:www.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom?action=show&global=1&vrn=100100028713299®ion=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null
Data validation fileRussa_Parliament_2011.pdf
in the Lab
Electoral Dossier

In the dossier

  • Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018
  • Alexander Shen "What mathematical statistics can't say"
  • Two-Humped Moscow
  • Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of a smoker
  • Getting "Saratov 62%" with our own hands

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DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

Good news for electoral observers, journalists and election investigators. You have a new and long-awaited tool - the interactive Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram. This detailed video lesson will help you understand how to work with this kit, what the advantages of an integrated approach are, how the tools help each other to detect an anomaly, or how the findings of one tool confirm the findings of...
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New parameters to explore

But new, non-transparent types of voting in Russia we introduce new parameters for studying elections in the Lab. The "ntransparent vote opens new horizons for your research.

Criticism and bibliography Criticism and bibliography

Criticism and bibliography

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and...
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