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The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated

The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated
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The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated

The candidates' results do not show the randomness expected from the free expression of citizens' will

A mathematician, who wished to remain anonymous, discovered that the voting results in the LNR (Luhansk People’s Republic) and Zaporizhzhia regions are literally "fabricated." By definition, "fabricated" means "manufactured."

Indeed, the absolute results for the candidates do not conform to the randomness expected from the free expression of citizens' will.

Calculations for Luhansk and Zaporizhzhya oblasts.

Calculations for Luhansk and Zaporizhzhya oblasts.

Figures obtained by entering CEC data into an Excel spreadsheet.



Calculations in the commissions of the Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia regions were carried out in a reversed order: the number of votes for candidates was obtained by multiplying a certain turnout (valid + invalid ballots) by planned candidate percentages predetermined to an accuracy of one-tenth of a percent.

This has also been observed previously in the LNR and DNR (Donetsk People’s Republic) in past years, during other "elections" and "referenda."

This is why the Central Election Commission hides the data for precinct election commissions in the "new territories." These figures are not involved in the calculations of final totals.

The reality of these turnout figures also remains questionable too.

The expected probability that freely voting citizens’ data would randomly result in such round percentages when divided by turnout can be estimated as (1/150)^4 and (1/45)^4, i.e., 2*10^-9 and 2*10^-7, respectively. This translates to "once in 500 million elections" and "once in 4 million elections," respectively.

The probability of the "elections" in the Luhansk region: 0.000000002.
The probability of the "elections" in the Zaporizhzhia region: 0.0000002.

Another story is how the Russian Central Election Commission hides election data in the occupied territories.

For you, researchers:

Electoral data of all the elections in this article is available in the Navigator for Elections and Datasets for download and independent analysis.
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Выборы в статье

Russia, the President 2024

Official name:

Election of the President of the Russian Federation, 2024

Winner/leader:

Vladimir Putin

Wikipedia entry:

2024 Russian presidential election

Wikipedia entry (Rus.):

Президентские выборы в России (2024)

For you, researchers:

Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom
Data validation filePresident RF 2024.03.17 official results.pdf
ParsingObservers in Exile
Dataset:Electoral Data President RF 2024.zip
Date of verification3/20/2024
Verification of the dataset with the source:

No data for 13 million registered voters (data for DEGs and "new territories" are hidden)

in the Lab

Статьи на тему

On Elections in Syria

The election results in Syria are just as fabricated as those in Luhansk. The organisers also calculated the number of voters based on predetermined percentages. 

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