Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

EG / Monday, November 9, 2020

/ Categories: Articles by geography, Russia, Tambov Oblast, Dependence of results on the turnout, Impossible Arithmetic, Geographical Anomalies, Examples and guidelines, Examples and guidelines, About us, Verdict of Electoral.Graphics, Videos

Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

A lesson-investigation. Navigating the site. Working with Scatter Plotter and Gabdulvaleev Plotter

When you have all the data at your fingertips, it's a simple task to convince yourself.

The video describes the interaction with the site of a representative of one of the target groups: an active, curious citizen. Moreover, – an opponent of statistical analysis methods.

The latter, hopefully, temporarily.

Look for yourself.

For you, researchers:

The electoral data of all the elections from this article has been uploaded into the Lab . Now, you can see the elections with your own eyes™.

Electoral data of all the elections in this article is available in the Navigator for Elections and Datasets for download and independent analysis.

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Elections in the article

13Sep2020

Russia, Unified Voting Day 2020

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Details

Official name:

Unified Voting Day 13 September 2020

Wikipedia article:

2020 Russian regional elections

Dataset Composition

The dataset contains complete election data for more than 1,000 districts.

The archive is divided into the following parts:

Data for the gubernatorial elections, for 21 September (file "Governors_results_21_Sep_2020_18_40.zip")
Data of byelections to the State Duma, for 21 September (file "byelections_Duma_results_21_Sep_2020_17_39.zip")
Data from elections of regional parliaments, for 21 September (file "Reg_parliamens_results_21_Sep_2020_18_17_17.zip")
Election data for regional centres, as of 21 September (file "reg_centres_results_21_Sep_2020_17_24.zip")
Data on elections in "umnoe_results_21_Sep_202020_18_54.zip" for 21 September (file "umnoe_results_21_Sep_2020_18_54.zip")
Data on the movement (attachment/detachment) of voters, regional parliaments, as of 20 September (file "Reg_parliaments_voter_movement.xlsx")
Voter movement (attachment/detachment) data, gubernatorial elections, as of 20 September (file "Governors_voter_movement.xlsx")

Availability in the Lab

The following regional head elections are available for study in the Lab:

Bryansk Oblast, Governor
Jewish Autonomous Okrug, Governor
Irkutsk Oblast, Governor
Kaluga Oblast, Governor
Kamchatka Territory, Governor
Kostroma region, Governor
Krasnodar Territory, Governor
Leningrad Oblast, Governor
Penza Oblast, Governor
Permsky Krai, Governor
Republic of Komi, Head of the Republic
Rostov Oblast, Governor
Sevastopol, Governor
Smolensk Oblast, Governor
Tambov Oblast, Governor
Tatarstan, President
Chuvash Republic, Head

And also

Elections to the City Council of Magnitogorsk (Chelyabinsk Region)

Verifications were carried out only for these elections. The results of the verification can be found in the individual election cards in the Navigator for all elections on the site, datasets in the repository and samples available in the Laboratory.

Data report

Original data source:	The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:	www.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/izbirkom
Parsing	Shpilkin
Verification of the dataset with the source:	Conciliation results: Since the dataset contains elections for more than a thousand districts, the verification with the original source was carried out only for the elections of regional heads. Minor discrepancies detected are related to the peculiarities of data presentation for digital precincts (for more details: in the cards of elections of regional heads). These discrepancies were not significant. Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020. The CEC, by introducing a captcha mechanism on its website, deliberately created obstacles to citizens reading and analysing election results. This, in turn, reduced the reliability of capturing published data using the Wayback Machine and similar servers due their inability to pass captchas.
in the Lab

Electoral Dossier

In the dossier

Doubting Thomas's Crash Test
New parameters to explore
Funny story about the Tambov region
The real turnout in Kuban was ~25%
United Voting Day election data received (Russia)

13Sep2020

Russia, Tambov region, Governor 2020

Sunday, September 13, 2020

Details

Official title:

Election of the head of administration of the Tambov region

Winner/leader:

Alexander Nikitin

Wikipedia article:

Выборы главы администрации Тамбовской области (2020)

For you, researchers:

The data has been uploaded into the Lab .
You can see the elections with your own eyes™.

Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:	The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:	www.tambov.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/tambov?action=show&root=1&tvd=2682000794592&vrn=2682000794588®ion=68&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=2682000794592&type=234
Data validation file	Russia_Tambov_region_Governor_2020.pdf
Parsing	Shpilkin
Dataset:	Russia_Tambov_region_Governor_2020.zip
Date of verification	9/22/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:	Reconciliation result: Discrepancy: 480 voters, 78 ballots. Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020. The CEC, by introducing the captcha mechanism on its website, deliberately created obstacles for citizens to familiarize themselves with and analyze the election results. This, in turn, reduced the reliability of capturing published data using the Wayback Machine and similar servers.
in the Lab

Electoral Dossier

In the dossier

Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope
Doubting Thomas's Crash Test
Funny story about the Tambov region

On the same topic

Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019

Saturday, December 7, 2019

Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019

The most suspicious EDG 2019 elections according to Natalia Z.: Kalmykia, Bashkortostan, Sakhalin, Volgograd Oblast, Altai, Vologda, St. Petersburg, Kursk

Assignment: find the top three most criminal elections of EDG 2019