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Unbelievable data from Venezuela's Presidential election with a Russian smack

Unbelievable data from Venezuela's Presidential election with a Russian smack
Roman Udot

Unbelievable data from Venezuela's Presidential election with a Russian smack

Without any doubt: The official data from the Presidential Elections in Venezuela were fabricated

At last, I unearthed official preliminary data on the number of votes in the Venezuelan Presidential election. We heard of percentages obtained from 80% of tallying sheets two days ago, but there goes the number of votes. Her Majesty Raw Data.

Without any doubt: THE OFFICIAL DATA WAS FABRICATED.

Расчёт предварительных данных ЦИК Венесуэлы (англ.)

Расчёт предварительных данных ЦИК Венесуэлы (англ.)

Цифры, получаемые при введении данных ЦИК в таблицу Excel. (англ.)

It is so improbable, that the only real explanation for such a set of numbers is that they were reverse-engineered to fit predefined outcomes.

🚀 For illustration: if an astronaut orbiting over Moscow (area - 2.5 thousand sq. km) ditches a can of beer to a rubbish dump with sides 5 by 5 metres (area - 25 sq. m), located near the monument to the Conquerors of Space in the North-east of the city, then Maduro is the President of Venezuela beyond any doubt. 🗑️

You may remember how Putin's results were rigged in the occupied territories of Ukraine in March of 2024.

There, the raw data was not statistically random, as the results of the free and independent actions of hundreds of thousands of citizens are supposed to be. The "results" were not output, but predetermined input, target totals to which the "initial" data were adjusted.

Image

In other words, the percentages were not the results of calculations based on the number of votes, but the numbers of votes were calculated to get the desired resultant percentages.

The same thing happened now in Venezuela.

Although the website of the National Electoral Council - that's the name of Venezuela's CEC – is dead: http://cne.gov.ve.

But there is an official announcement by the CEC of the results after the "counting" of 80% of the precincts

Announcement by the Venezuela's CEC

Youtube video news report

The numbers are confirmed by a BBC publication

BBC publication with the number of announced votes

BBC publication with the number of announced votes

The BBC website also captured the announced results.

 

As well as by a tweet from the Minister of Foreign Affairs, Yván Gil Pinto:

The data from the Venezuelan Foreign Minister

The data from the Venezuelan Foreign Minister

The tweet by Iván Gil Pinto, Venezuelan Minister of Foreign Affairs

In Venezuela, invalid ballots are not considered when determining the results, so we can ignore them.

As a result, we get that the number of votes announced by the CEC gives an incredibly accurate hit on the targets of 51.20000%, 44.20000%, and 4.60000% respectively.

The probability of such an event for one candidate: one ten-thousandth = 1/10,000.

In the announced sample, the probability of such a coincidence is the product of probabilities of all statistically independent values, i.e. one hundred millionths (in this case, we have two statistically independent values in the set of three).

If you pick out the correct grain of sand (1 mg) in a hundred-kilogram pile of sand in one single stroke, you will repeat the Venezuelan Electoral Commission's mind-blowing feat.

Or, if you let me repeat myself:

🚀 if an astronaut orbiting over Moscow (area - 2.5 thousand sq km) ditches a can of beer to a rubbish dump with sides 5 by 5 metres (area - 25 sq m), located near the monument to the Conquerors of Space in the North-east part of the city, then Maduro is the President of Venezuelans beyond any doubt. 🗑️

If you don't have real-life experience with precision dumping from space, the attached video will give you a vague idea of 1/100 000 000 probability.

Astronomical precision of the Venezuela's CEC data

A visual representation of what a one-hundred-millionth probability event is.

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Elections in the article

Venezuela, President, 2024

Official name:

Venezuelan presidential election

Winner/leader:

Nicolas Maduro

Wikipedia entry:

2024 Venezuelan presidential election

Wikipedia entry (Rus.):

Президентские выборы в Венесуэле (2024)

For you, researchers:

Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:
Data validation fileVenezuela_President_2024_verification.zip
Dataset:Venezuela_President_2024_data.zip
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Preliminary official data is sufficient to confirm falsification.

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