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Thursday, December 12, 2024

Electoral Graphics

see with your own eyes

A bell, a saw, an axe
A bell, a saw, an axe

A bell, a saw, an axe

A bell, a saw, an axe

A bell, a saw, an axe

Journalists "Важных историй" Alesya Marokhovskaya and Alexei Smagin made a curious "explainer" in their article....
The real turnout in Kuban was ~25%
The real turnout in Kuban was ~25%

The real turnout in Kuban was ~25%

The real turnout in Kuban was ~25%

The real turnout in Kuban was ~25%

Kanevskaya, where I spent my childhood, drew the biggest turnout, 97%. And Pavlovskaya - the biggest percentage to Kondratiev, 94%. Crooks.
Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope
Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

Russian governors of 2020 already under...

Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

The data of the gubernatorial elections, kindly provided by Sergei Shpilkin, have been uploaded to the Lab and are ready for independent study. Now...
Margarita J. The most rigged elections of 2019
Margarita J. The most rigged elections of 2019

Margarita J. The most rigged elections...

Margarita J. The most rigged elections of 2019

Margarita J. The most rigged elections of 2019

The most rigged EDG 2019 elections according to Margarita Zh.: Kalmykia, Lipetsk, Sakhalin
Sergei Shpilkin
Sergei Shpilkin

Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of...

Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"

Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"

Sergey Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections" Presentation at the First Roundtable of Mathematicians
Maxim N. The most rigged election of 2019
Maxim N. The most rigged election of 2019

Maxim N. The most rigged election of...

Maxim N. The most rigged election of 2019

Maxim N. The most rigged election of 2019

"Competitors lie in dead layers" in Kursk Oblast, the Republic of Kalmykia and Zabaikalsky Krai. Competitors lie in dead layers" in...
Assignment: find the top three most criminal elections of EDG 2019
Assignment: find the top three most criminal elections of EDG 2019

Assignment: find the top three most...

Assignment: find the top three most criminal elections of EDG 2019

Assignment: find the top three most criminal elections of EDG 2019

Statistical task: find the top three most criminal elections of EDG 2019 (Russia). Staging. Tour of the Laboratory.
Elections and statistics: the United Russia casus belli (2009-2020)
Elections and statistics: the United Russia casus belli (2009-2020)

Elections and statistics: the United...

Elections and statistics: the United Russia casus belli (2009-2020)

Elections and statistics: the United Russia casus belli (2009-2020)

Alexander Shen's classic work, written by him in 2009, and continued for 11 years.
Roman Udot
Roman Udot

Roman Udot "Referendum in Armenia 2015...

Roman Udot "Referendum in Armenia 2015 in Numbers and Diagrams"

Roman Udot "Referendum in Armenia 2015 in Numbers and Diagrams"

Dmitry V. The most criminal elections 2019
Dmitry V. The most criminal elections 2019

Dmitry V. The most criminal elections...

Dmitry V. The most criminal elections 2019

Dmitry V. The most criminal elections 2019

The most criminal EDG elections 2019 according to Dmitry V: Bashkortostan, Kalmykia, the third place was shared by: Lipetsk, Vologda, Volgograd...
Andrei Buzin
Andrei Buzin

Andrei Buzin "The Evolution of Moscow's...

Andrei Buzin "The Evolution of Moscow's Electoral Anomalies"

Andrei Buzin "The Evolution of Moscow's Electoral Anomalies"

Andrey Buzin "Evolution of Moscow's electoral anomalies" Presentation at the II Round Table of Mathematicians. Presentation at the II Round...
New parameters to explore
New parameters to explore

New parameters to explore

New parameters to explore

New parameters to explore

But new, non-transparent types of voting in Russia we introduce new parameters for studying elections in the Lab. The...
Stats 2019.
Stats 2019.

Stats 2019. "Correct Answers". The most...

Stats 2019. "Correct Answers". The most criminal EDG elections of 2019 according to EG

Stats 2019. "Correct Answers". The most criminal EDG elections of 2019 according to EG

In our version, the most criminal gubernatorial elections of EDG-2019 were in Bashkortostan, as well as in Volgograd and Kursk regions.
Criticism and bibliography
Criticism and bibliography

Criticism and bibliography

Criticism and bibliography

Criticism and bibliography

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the...
Concept of the Electoral.Graphics website
Concept of the Electoral.Graphics website

Concept of the Electoral.Graphics...

Concept of the Electoral.Graphics website

Concept of the Electoral.Graphics website

The concept of the Electoral.Graphics website is to bring together different types of electoral information: elections, data, investigations and...
Mateusz Bajek
Mateusz Bajek

Mateusz Bajek "The era of new...

Mateusz Bajek "The era of new opportunities: video observation and statistics combined (Russian Presidential elections 2018)"

Mateusz Bajek "The era of new opportunities: video observation and statistics combined (Russian Presidential elections 2018)"

Mateusz Bajek "The Age of New Opportunities: Video Surveillance and Statistics Together" (Russian Presidential Elections 2018) Mateusz Bajek...
Review of the ROIPP report
Review of the ROIPP report

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical...

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov....
Azat Gabdulvaleev
Azat Gabdulvaleev

Azat Gabdulvaleev "Graphical...

Azat Gabdulvaleev "Graphical visualization of open data as a simple way to detect anomalies in voting results"

Azat Gabdulvaleev "Graphical visualization of open data as a simple way to detect anomalies in voting results"

One such method is graphical visualization of open data. There is little or no math involved, but the charts can immediately identify some anomalies...
Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report
Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing...

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические...
Participation of Azat Gabdulvaleev in the second round table of mathematicians
Participation of Azat Gabdulvaleev in the second round table of mathematicians

Participation of Azat Gabdulvaleev in...

Participation of Azat Gabdulvaleev in the second round table of mathematicians

Participation of Azat Gabdulvaleev in the second round table of mathematicians

In May 2018, Azat Gabdulvaleev participated in the Mathematicians Roundtable II. You can listen and see for yourself™ how it happened.
Inna K. The most criminal elections 2019
Inna K. The most criminal elections 2019

Inna K. The most criminal elections 2019

Inna K. The most criminal elections 2019

Inna K. The most criminal elections 2019

The most criminal EDG 2019 elections according to Inna K.: Zabaykalsky Krai, Kursk Oblast, Volgograd Oblast.
Getting
Getting

Getting "Saratov 62%" with our own hands

Getting "Saratov 62%" with our own hands

Getting "Saratov 62%" with our own hands

Utilizing Gabdulwaleev's Plotter to reveal drawn data.
Boris Ovchinnikov
Boris Ovchinnikov

Boris Ovchinnikov "Statistics against...

Boris Ovchinnikov "Statistics against electoral fraud"

Boris Ovchinnikov "Statistics against electoral fraud"

Boris Ovchinnikov's presentation "Statistics against electoral fraud"
Roman Udot. Presentation of participants and their works
Roman Udot. Presentation of participants and their works

Roman Udot. Presentation of participants...

Roman Udot. Presentation of participants and their works

Roman Udot. Presentation of participants and their works

Roman Udot. Presentation of the participants and their papersPresentation at the I Round Table of Mathematicians
DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram
DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

Good news for electoral observers, journalists and election investigators. You have a new and long-awaited tool - the interactive Kiesling-Shpilkin...
Sergey Shpilkin. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018
Sergey Shpilkin. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018

Sergey Shpilkin. II Round Table of...

Sergey Shpilkin. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018

Sergey Shpilkin. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018

Sergei Shpilkin. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018 Closed discussions of the Round Table. Presentation "2018 Azerbaijan presidential...
Two-Humped Moscow
Two-Humped Moscow

Two-Humped Moscow

Two-Humped Moscow

Two-Humped Moscow

Corroborating falsifications with histograms
Maxim Ya. Most Criminal Election 2019
Maxim Ya. Most Criminal Election 2019

Maxim Ya. Most Criminal Election 2019

Maxim Ya. Most Criminal Election 2019

Maxim Ya. Most Criminal Election 2019

The most criminal EDG elections 2019 according to Maxim Y.: Bashkortostan, Volgograd region, Transbaikalia / Kalmykia
Roman Udot
Roman Udot

Roman Udot "Elections in Figures. Using...

Roman Udot "Elections in Figures. Using Open Data to Detect Falsification"

Roman Udot "Elections in Figures. Using Open Data to Detect Falsification"

How to explain statistical methods to an eight-year-old child. An introduction to researchers and their methods. 
Andrei Buzin Megastatistics of Russian quasi-elections
Andrei Buzin Megastatistics of Russian quasi-elections

Andrei Buzin Megastatistics of Russian...

Andrei Buzin Megastatistics of Russian quasi-elections

Andrei Buzin Megastatistics of Russian quasi-elections

A.Y. Buzin's presentation at the I Round Table of Mathematicians. "Megastatistics of Russian quasi-elections". Andrey Buzin proposed an...
Sergey Shpilkin
Sergey Shpilkin

Sergey Shpilkin "Azerbaijani...

Sergey Shpilkin "Azerbaijani presidential elections 2018: what the numbers can tell us"

Sergey Shpilkin "Azerbaijani presidential elections 2018: what the numbers can tell us"

Sergey Shpilkin "Azerbaijani presidential election 2018: what the numbers can tell"
Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018
Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018

Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of...

Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018

Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018

Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018 Closed discussions of the Roundtable. Alexander Shen.
Mateusz Bayek at the Second Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018 г.
Mateusz Bayek at the Second Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018 г.

Mateusz Bayek at the Second Roundtable...

Mateusz Bayek at the Second Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018 г.

Mateusz Bayek at the Second Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018 г.

In May 2018, Mateusz Bayek participated in the Mathematicians Roundtable II. You can listen and see for yourself™ how it happened.
Alexei Kupriyanov:
Alexei Kupriyanov:

Alexei Kupriyanov: "Patterns of...

Alexei Kupriyanov: "Patterns of electoral behaviour in Russia are very complicated (probably), but they may as well be not"

Alexei Kupriyanov: "Patterns of electoral behaviour in Russia are very complicated (probably), but they may as well be not"

Alexei Kupriyanov: "Patterns of electoral behaviour in Russia are very complicated (probably), but they may as well be not". ...
Azat Gabdulvaleev
Azat Gabdulvaleev

Azat Gabdulvaleev "Analysis of election...

Azat Gabdulvaleev "Analysis of election results in the city of Grozny using graphical visualization and turnout counting based on video recordings from polling stations"

Azat Gabdulvaleev "Analysis of election results in the city of Grozny using graphical visualization and turnout counting based on video recordings from polling stations"

Azat Gabdulvaleev "Analysis of election results in the city of Grozny using graphic visualization and turnout counting based on video recordings...
Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of a smoker
Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of a smoker

Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of...

Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of a smoker

Moscow of a healthy person and Moscow of a smoker

The falsifications that caused people to take to the streets of Moscow can be proved with math.
Roman Udot
Roman Udot

Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the...

Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the Results of the Constitutional Referendum in the Republic of Armenia"

Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the Results of the Constitutional Referendum in the Republic of Armenia"

Roman Udot "Statistical analysis of the results of the constitutional referendum in the Republic of Armenia" Conclusion: official results...
OSCE Statistician Anders Eriksson. Presentation: ODIHR statistical approach
OSCE Statistician Anders Eriksson. Presentation: ODIHR statistical approach

OSCE Statistician Anders Eriksson....

OSCE Statistician Anders Eriksson. Presentation: ODIHR statistical approach

OSCE Statistician Anders Eriksson. Presentation: ODIHR statistical approach

OSCE statistical expert Anders Eriksson talks about the OSCE's statistical analysis of the data it receives from observers.
A triumphant victory over myself
A triumphant victory over myself

A triumphant victory over myself

A triumphant victory over myself

A triumphant victory over myself

[EasyDNNnews:IfExists:AuthorProfile][EasyDNNnews:Author:Link][EasyDNNnews:EndIf:AuthorProfile] made an interesting comparison of statistics from the...
Twenty-one governors are ready for the probe
Twenty-one governors are ready for the probe

Twenty-one governors are ready for the...

Twenty-one governors are ready for the probe

Twenty-one governors are ready for the probe

With great delight, we publish twenty-one tools for investigating the gubernatorial elections on the Unified Election Day of 2023. For the first time,...
Azat Gabdulvaleev. Elections in graphs. Overview of Russian cities.
Azat Gabdulvaleev. Elections in graphs. Overview of Russian cities.

Azat Gabdulvaleev. Elections in graphs....

Azat Gabdulvaleev. Elections in graphs. Overview of Russian cities.

Azat Gabdulvaleev. Elections in graphs. Overview of Russian cities.

Azat Gabdulvaleev's presentation at the First Round Table of Mathematicians.
Alexey Kupriyanov. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018
Alexey Kupriyanov. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018

Alexey Kupriyanov. II Round Table of...

Alexey Kupriyanov. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018

Alexey Kupriyanov. II Round Table of Mathematicians. 2018

Alexei Kupriyanov.II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018 Closed discussions of the Round Table. Alexei Kupriyanov.
Funny story about the Tambov region
Funny story about the Tambov region

Funny story about the Tambov region

Funny story about the Tambov region

Funny story about the Tambov region

Governor Nikitin's result directly even resembles the cluster of the city of Tambov. One could rejoice, but this result is a draw. The result is a...
Lev Krylenkov.Identification of drawn results
Lev Krylenkov.Identification of drawn results

Lev Krylenkov.Identification of drawn...

Lev Krylenkov.Identification of drawn results

Lev Krylenkov.Identification of drawn results

Lev Krylenkov shows in his presentation on how fraud was detected in the 2014 St. Petersburg gubernatorial election. 
Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019
Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019

Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections...

Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019

Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019

The most suspicious EDG 2019 elections according to Natalia Z.: Kalmykia, Bashkortostan, Sakhalin, Volgograd Oblast, Altai, Vologda, St. Petersburg,...
Alexander Shen
Alexander Shen

Alexander Shen "What mathematical...

Alexander Shen "What mathematical statistics can't say"

Alexander Shen "What mathematical statistics can't say"

Alexander Shen "What mathematical statistics can't say". Presentation. 
Magnitogorsk City Council - unconventional analysis and an amazing flag
Magnitogorsk City Council - unconventional analysis and an amazing flag

Magnitogorsk City Council -...

Magnitogorsk City Council - unconventional analysis and an amazing flag

Magnitogorsk City Council - unconventional analysis and an amazing flag

At the request of one of the losing candidates, we uploaded a multi-mandate election. For this purpose we had to conditionally bring 32 districts to...
Doubting Thomas's Crash Test
Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

How to win over opponents, convince the wavering, build confidence in supporters? By properly navigating the site!
II Round Table of Mathematicians. Boris Ovchinnikov.
II Round Table of Mathematicians. Boris Ovchinnikov.

II Round Table of Mathematicians. Boris...

II Round Table of Mathematicians. Boris Ovchinnikov.

II Round Table of Mathematicians. Boris Ovchinnikov.

In May 2018, Boris Ovchinnikov participated in the Mathematicians Roundtable II. You can listen and see for yourself™ how it went.
Andrei Buzin at the II Round Table of Mathematicians
Andrei Buzin at the II Round Table of Mathematicians

Andrei Buzin at the II Round Table of...

Andrei Buzin at the II Round Table of Mathematicians

Andrei Buzin at the II Round Table of Mathematicians

In May 2018, Andrei Buzin participated in the Mathematicians Roundtable II. You can listen and see for yourself™ how it went.
Sergey Shpilkin's dataset archive
Sergey Shpilkin's dataset archive

Sergey Shpilkin's dataset archive

Sergey Shpilkin's dataset archive

Sergey Shpilkin's dataset archive

S.A. Shpilkin's dataset archive includes federal elections in Russia from 1999 to 2012.

Elections in the Lens of Statistics

The mission of this site is to give everyone an opportunity to see the elections through the magic lens of statisticians. Of course, you have heard that mathematicians have found the way to discover fraud in elections as they have previously discovered distant planets: making calculations without leaving their desk. But it is better to see how they do it firsthand than to hear a hundred times. This is the site for this purpose. Not all of us have the time, technical capabilities and theoretical knowledge to independently explore the election results. But, unlike the distant planets, the elections and their fairness concern each of us.

Unbelievable data from Venezuela's Presidential election with a Russian... Unbelievable data from Venezuela's Presidential election with a Russian...

Unbelievable data from Venezuela's Presidential election with a Russian...

Without any doubt: The official data from the Presidential Elections in Venezuela were fabricated

0 13

The numbers announced by Venezuela's electoral commission were fabricated in the same way that they were fabricated in the occupied Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia regions of Ukraine for the 2024 Russian presidential election.

The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated

The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated

The candidates' results do not show the randomness expected from the free expression of citizens' will

0 15

Calculations in the commissions of the Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia regions were carried out in reverse: the number of votes for candidates was obtained by multiplying the turnout by the planned percentages for the candidates.

Twenty-one governors are ready for the probe Twenty-one governors are ready for the probe

Twenty-one governors are ready for the probe

With great delight, we publish twenty-one tools for investigating the gubernatorial elections on the Unified Election Day of 2023. For the first...
0 9225
Additions to our Lab: Special tools! Additions to our Lab: Special tools!

Additions to our Lab: Special tools!

We are launching a new section in our Lab: Special tools.  Each tool in the lab can be made for an individual election or a group of...
0 5705
DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

Good news for electoral observers, journalists and election investigators. You have a new and long-awaited tool - the interactive...
0 19566
Concept of the Electoral.Graphics website Concept of the Electoral.Graphics website

Concept of the Electoral.Graphics website

The concept of the Electoral.Graphics website is to bring together different types of electoral information: elections, data, investigations and...
0 13498
Doubting Thomas's Crash Test Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

Doubting Thomas's Crash Test

How to win over opponents, convince the wavering, build confidence in supporters? By properly navigating the site!

0 34678
Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope

The data of the gubernatorial elections, kindly provided by Sergei Shpilkin, have been uploaded to the Lab and are ready for independent study....
0 36891

Magnitogorsk City Council - unconventional analysis and an amazing flag

At the request of one of the losing candidates, we uploaded a multi-mandate election. For this purpose we had to conditionally bring 32 districts to one "single district": candidates were grouped by the political party that nominated them. Self-nominated candidates fell into one conditional "party". Only in one district there were two self-nominees.  You can already...

New parameters to explore

But new, non-transparent types of voting in Russia we introduce new parameters for studying elections in the Lab. The "ntransparent vote opens new horizons for your research.

Criticism and bibliography

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and...
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