Сергей Шпилькин / Monday, September 14, 2020 / Categories: Articles by geography, Russia, Tambov Oblast, Dependence of results on the turnout, Kiesling-Shpilkin method, Strings of Gabdulvaleev, Investigations of this type Funny story about the Tambov region A separate funny story about the Tambov region. Do you see the horizontal dashes on the turnout of 85-90% and the result of about 30%? Governor Nikitin's result directly even resembles the cluster of the city of Tambov. One could be happy, but this result is a draw. If you look closely, it also has a non-standard order of candidates: it's not Zhidkov, but Telegin who comes in second place. These precincts are from the Rasskazovo City TEC, and gubernatorial candidate Igor Telegin is a Rasskazovo businessman and head of the LDPR faction in the regional Duma. In 13 out of 19 polling stations of this TEC, the results of all candidates are obtained by multiplying the number of valid ballots by simple coefficients (and, it seems, Governor Nikitin was given the remainder, adding up rounding errors). And on the other six - they drew for Nikitin, what is there. And, for example, precincts 546 and 547 are in the same school. Also a task for sociologists, no? Print 27992 Tags: FalsificationsRF Unified E-Day 2020RF Tambov Obl Governor 2020 Данные для статьиfullLaboratory support for articlefullDossier's BlockRF Unified E-Day 2020 RF Tambov Obl Governor 2020Theoretic depthObservation More links A particular hilarious case of the Tambov region.The original Facebook post by Sergey Shpilkin Related articles Doubting Thomas's Crash Test New parameters to explore The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope The first governor of 2020 has been uploaded to the Lab: Krasnodar Krai Please login or register to post comments.
Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Андрей Бузин / Sunday, September 6, 2020 0 8201 Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond. It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes! Read more
Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL) EG / Thursday, September 3, 2020 0 8999 3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it. Read more
A triumphant victory over myself A triumphant victory over myself Сергей Шпилькин / Tuesday, July 21, 2020 0 22225 Сергей Шпилькин made an interesting comparison of statistics from the 2020 Constitution Referendum and the 2018 Presidential Election. Read more
A bell, a saw, an axe A bell, a saw, an axe EG / Monday, July 20, 2020 0 31589 Journalists "Важных историй" Alesya Marokhovskaya and Alexei Smagin made a curious "explainer" in their article. Recommended."Analysts believe that the last vote on amendments to the Constitution was a record-breaking vote on the scale of falsifications. They cite many complex graphs to prove it. «Important Stories» made a simple visual «explanation» which should help to understand them". Read more
Dependence of "Yes" share on types of turnout Dependence of "Yes" share on types of turnout Андрей Бузин / Friday, July 3, 2020 0 17685 Dependencies of "YES" response rates on total, early, and non early turnout in the 2020 nationwide vote: The "YES" response rate has a VERY high correlation with early voting and is almost independent of the July 1 vote. See the following. Read more