Roman Udot / Tuesday, March 19, 2024 / Categories: Ukraine, Luhansk Oblast, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Reverse Engineering The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated The candidates' results do not show the randomness expected from the free expression of citizens' will A mathematician, who wished to remain anonymous, discovered that the voting results in the LNR (Luhansk People’s Republic) and Zaporizhzhia regions are literally "fabricated." By definition, "fabricated" means "manufactured." Indeed, the absolute results for the candidates do not conform to the randomness expected from the free expression of citizens' will. Calculations for Luhansk and Zaporizhzhya oblasts. Figures obtained by entering CEC data into an Excel spreadsheet. Calculations in the commissions of the Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia regions were carried out in a reversed order: the number of votes for candidates was obtained by multiplying a certain turnout (valid + invalid ballots) by planned candidate percentages predetermined to an accuracy of one-tenth of a percent. This has also been observed previously in the LNR and DNR (Donetsk People’s Republic) in past years, during other "elections" and "referenda." This is why the Central Election Commission hides the data for precinct election commissions in the "new territories." These figures are not involved in the calculations of final totals. The reality of these turnout figures also remains questionable too. The expected probability that freely voting citizens’ data would randomly result in such round percentages when divided by turnout can be estimated as (1/150)^4 and (1/45)^4, i.e., 2*10^-9 and 2*10^-7, respectively. This translates to "once in 500 million elections" and "once in 4 million elections," respectively. The probability of the "elections" in the Luhansk region: 0.000000002. The probability of the "elections" in the Zaporizhzhia region: 0.0000002. Another story is how the Russian Central Election Commission hides election data in the occupied territories. Print 551 Tags: Russia President 2024 Данные для статьиfullTheoretic depthObservation Documents to download RU_UA_Luhansk_Zaporizhzhie_2024_verification(.zip, 2.31 MB) - 23 download(s) More links It has been discovered that the voting results in LNR and Zaporizhzhya oblast are literally fabricated.The original tweet by Roman Udot. Related articles Russia, the President 2024 Please login or register to post comments.
Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Андрей Бузин / Sunday, September 6, 2020 0 8201 Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond. It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes! Read more
Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL) EG / Thursday, September 3, 2020 0 8999 3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it. Read more
A triumphant victory over myself A triumphant victory over myself Сергей Шпилькин / Tuesday, July 21, 2020 0 22225 Сергей Шпилькин made an interesting comparison of statistics from the 2020 Constitution Referendum and the 2018 Presidential Election. Read more
A bell, a saw, an axe A bell, a saw, an axe EG / Monday, July 20, 2020 0 31589 Journalists "Важных историй" Alesya Marokhovskaya and Alexei Smagin made a curious "explainer" in their article. Recommended."Analysts believe that the last vote on amendments to the Constitution was a record-breaking vote on the scale of falsifications. They cite many complex graphs to prove it. «Important Stories» made a simple visual «explanation» which should help to understand them". Read more
Dependence of "Yes" share on types of turnout Dependence of "Yes" share on types of turnout Андрей Бузин / Friday, July 3, 2020 0 17685 Dependencies of "YES" response rates on total, early, and non early turnout in the 2020 nationwide vote: The "YES" response rate has a VERY high correlation with early voting and is almost independent of the July 1 vote. See the following. Read more