Dossier on the Election in the Lab

Dossier on the election available in the Lab -a collection of election information from our site. All materials where this election is mentioned.

Election Cards

Belarus, President 2020

Election card

Official title:

Election of the President of the Republic of Belarus in 2020

Winner/leader:

not established

Wikipedia article:

2020 Belarusian presidential election

About the dataset
.

The CEC of Belarus does not publish data on polling stations. On the website of this organisation only aggregate values by regions were published. Such data is not suitable for identifying statistical anomalies in the data. That is why an international group of volunteers implemented a unique project: they digitised that part of the protocols of election commissions, the photos of which were posted in the public domain by observers from polling stations. The work lasted more than one day, so our set contains data as of 11.08.2020. Later, a dataset as of 26.10.2020 was added. The dataset also includes incomplete official data from the CEC of Belarus.

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Original data source:volunteer observers
URL of the source:docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1JGcsL3cKMRHOwI7F44Ywkt6SU1lqSYTv3TAWMXAR0Qs/edit?fbclid=IwAR3x6Wrby7BbXdCDZZWqRVJ3Vk3tts-dClcqXUfb18bBdEEcUhVT_hwsiXM
Parsingvolunteer observers
Dataset:Belarus_President_2020.zip
Verification of the dataset with the source:

On verification: no verification with the official totals was carried out due to the specificity of the origin of the dataset and its inherent incompleteness. Only selective verification with copies of protocols published on the Web is possible. There is no need to verify the parsing with the source, as the volunteers provided the data in machine-readable form.

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Articles on the Elections

Criticism and bibliography

Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020,

Alexander Shen 0 8171

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity».

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Андрей Бузин 0 7874

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond.

It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes!

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL)

EG 0 8568

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. 
They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it.

 

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