Dossier on the Election in the Lab

Dossier on the election available in the Lab -a collection of election information from our site. All materials where this election is mentioned.

Election Cards

Russia, Krasnodar Region, Governor 2020

electoral card

Official title:

Election of the head of administration (governor) of Krasnodar Krai

Winner/leader:

Veniamin Kondratiev

Wikipedia article:

Выборы губернатора Краснодарского края (2020)

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Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.krasnodar.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/krasnodar?action=show&root=1&tvd=22320002687250&vrn=22320002687246®ion=23&global=null&sub_region=99&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=22320002687250&type=234
Data validation fileRussia_Krasnodar_region_Governor_2020.pdf
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Krasnodar Governor 2020.zip
Date of verification9/22/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy: 1 PEC (406 voters, 198 ballots).

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin's parsings in 2020.

The CEC, by introducing the captcha mechanism on its website, deliberately created obstacles for citizens to familiarize themselves with and analyze the election results. This, in turn, reduced the reliability of capturing published data using the Wayback Machine and similar servers.

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Articles on the Elections

Criticism and bibliography

Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020,

Alexander Shen 0 8049

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity».

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Андрей Бузин 0 7771

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond.

It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes!

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL)

EG 0 8479

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. 
They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it.

 

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