Сергей Шпилькин / Monday, September 14, 2020 / Categories: Articles by geography, Russia, Tambov Oblast, Dependence of results on the turnout, Kiesling-Shpilkin method, Strings of Gabdulvaleev, Investigations of this type Funny story about the Tambov region A separate funny story about the Tambov region. Do you see the horizontal dashes on the turnout of 85-90% and the result of about 30%? Governor Nikitin's result directly even resembles the cluster of the city of Tambov. One could be happy, but this result is a draw. If you look closely, it also has a non-standard order of candidates: it's not Zhidkov, but Telegin who comes in second place. These precincts are from the Rasskazovo City TEC, and gubernatorial candidate Igor Telegin is a Rasskazovo businessman and head of the LDPR faction in the regional Duma. In 13 out of 19 polling stations of this TEC, the results of all candidates are obtained by multiplying the number of valid ballots by simple coefficients (and, it seems, Governor Nikitin was given the remainder, adding up rounding errors). And on the other six - they drew for Nikitin, what is there. And, for example, precincts 546 and 547 are in the same school. Also a task for sociologists, no? Print 26572 Tags: FalsificationsRF Unified E-Day 2020RF Tambov Obl Governor 2020 Данные для статьиfullLaboratory support for articlefullDossier's BlockRF Unified E-Day 2020 RF Tambov Obl Governor 2020Theoretic depthObservation More links ИсточникПост в Фейсбук автора Related articles Doubting Thomas's Crash Test New parameters to explore The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% Russian governors of 2020 already under the microscope The first governor of 2020 has been uploaded to the Lab: Krasnodar Krai Please login or register to post comments.
Criticism and bibliography Criticism and bibliography Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020, Alexander Shen / Wednesday, September 16, 2020 0 8171 The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity». Read more
Funny story about the Tambov region Funny story about the Tambov region Сергей Шпилькин / Monday, September 14, 2020 0 26565 Governor Nikitin's result directly even resembles the cluster of the city of Tambov. One could rejoice, but this result is a draw. The result is a draw. Read more
The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% Ivan Shukshin / Monday, September 14, 2020 0 24256 Kanevskaya, where I spent my childhood, drew the biggest turnout, 97%. And Pavlovskaya - the biggest percentage to Kondratiev, 94%. Crooks. Read more
Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Андрей Бузин / Sunday, September 6, 2020 0 7874 Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond. It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes! Read more
Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL) EG / Thursday, September 3, 2020 0 8568 3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it. Read more