Сергей Шпилькин / Friday, December 15, 2017 / Categories: Russia, Unimodality, Dependence of results on the turnout, Kiesling-Shpilkin method, The Last Digit, Strings of Gabdulvaleev, Dynamics of official turnout, Geographical Anomalies, Slides and presentations Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections" Presentation at the I Round Table of Mathematicians Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections" In his work, Sergei Shpilkin gives a graphical overview of different methods of analyzing elections in different countries. Print 35327 Tags: ResearchFrance President I round 2014RF President 2012Armenia President 1996Armenia Referendum 2015Armenia Parliament 2015Azerbaijan President 2013France President I round 2017Poland President I round 2015Romania President I round 2014Turkey President 2014Ukraine President I round 2010Venezuela President 2013RF President I round 1996RF President II round 1996RF Duma 1999Armenia Parliament 2017 Theoretic depthObservation Documents to download Sergei Spilkin Statistical analysis of elections RTM-1 Dec 2017(.pdf, 25.66 MB) - 15629 download(s) Related articles Alexander Shen "What mathematical statistics can't say" Andrei Buzin Megastatistics of Russian quasi-elections Alexander Shen. II Roundtable of Mathematicians. 2018 Roman Udot "Referendum in Armenia 2015 in Numbers and Diagrams" Andrei Buzin "The Evolution of Moscow's Electoral Anomalies" Please login or register to post comments.
Criticism and bibliography Criticism and bibliography Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020, Alexander Shen / Wednesday, September 16, 2020 0 8171 The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity». Read more
Funny story about the Tambov region Funny story about the Tambov region Сергей Шпилькин / Monday, September 14, 2020 0 26565 Governor Nikitin's result directly even resembles the cluster of the city of Tambov. One could rejoice, but this result is a draw. The result is a draw. Read more
The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% Ivan Shukshin / Monday, September 14, 2020 0 24256 Kanevskaya, where I spent my childhood, drew the biggest turnout, 97%. And Pavlovskaya - the biggest percentage to Kondratiev, 94%. Crooks. Read more
Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Андрей Бузин / Sunday, September 6, 2020 0 7874 Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond. It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes! Read more
Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL) EG / Thursday, September 3, 2020 0 8568 3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it. Read more