Roman Udot / Tuesday, March 19, 2024 / Categories: Ukraine, Luhansk Oblast, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, Reverse Engineering The voting results in the LNR and Zaporizhzhia regions are fabricated The candidates' results do not show the randomness expected from the free expression of citizens' will A mathematician, who wished to remain anonymous, discovered that the voting results in the LNR (Luhansk People’s Republic) and Zaporizhzhia regions are literally "fabricated." By definition, "fabricated" means "manufactured." Indeed, the absolute results for the candidates do not conform to the randomness expected from the free expression of citizens' will. Calculations for Luhansk and Zaporizhzhya oblasts. Figures obtained by entering CEC data into an Excel spreadsheet. Calculations in the commissions of the Luhansk and Zaporizhzhia regions were carried out in a reversed order: the number of votes for candidates was obtained by multiplying a certain turnout (valid + invalid ballots) by planned candidate percentages predetermined to an accuracy of one-tenth of a percent. This has also been observed previously in the LNR and DNR (Donetsk People’s Republic) in past years, during other "elections" and "referenda." This is why the Central Election Commission hides the data for precinct election commissions in the "new territories." These figures are not involved in the calculations of final totals. The reality of these turnout figures also remains questionable too. The expected probability that freely voting citizens’ data would randomly result in such round percentages when divided by turnout can be estimated as (1/150)^4 and (1/45)^4, i.e., 2*10^-9 and 2*10^-7, respectively. This translates to "once in 500 million elections" and "once in 4 million elections," respectively. The probability of the "elections" in the Luhansk region: 0.000000002. The probability of the "elections" in the Zaporizhzhia region: 0.0000002. Another story is how the Russian Central Election Commission hides election data in the occupied territories. Print 313 Tags: Russia President 2024 Данные для статьиfullTheoretic depthObservation Documents to download RU_UA_Luhansk_Zaporizhzhie_2024_verification(.zip, 2.31 MB) - 19 download(s) More links It has been discovered that the voting results in LNR and Zaporizhzhya oblast are literally fabricated.The original tweet by Roman Udot. Related articles Russia, the President 2024 Please login or register to post comments.
The first governor of 2020 has been uploaded to the Lab: Krasnodar Krai The first governor of 2020 has been uploaded to the Lab: Krasnodar Krai EG / Wednesday, September 23, 2020 0 12737 Despite the CEC's best efforts to close to the public the possibility of processing data from the 2020 Single Voting Day election. Parsings have been received. The first of those elected - the governor of Krasnodar Krai - is already in the Lab. Read more
United Voting Day election data received (Russia) United Voting Day election data received (Russia) Telegram channel RUElectionData / Monday, September 21, 2020 0 17544 Let's start uploading EDG 2020 data to the Lab from the telegram channel RuElectionData Read more
Criticism and bibliography Criticism and bibliography Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020, Alexander Shen / Wednesday, September 16, 2020 0 8424 The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity». Read more
Funny story about the Tambov region Funny story about the Tambov region Сергей Шпилькин / Monday, September 14, 2020 0 27709 Governor Nikitin's result directly even resembles the cluster of the city of Tambov. One could rejoice, but this result is a draw. The result is a draw. Read more
The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% The real turnout in Kuban was ~25% Ivan Shukshin / Monday, September 14, 2020 0 25124 Kanevskaya, where I spent my childhood, drew the biggest turnout, 97%. And Pavlovskaya - the biggest percentage to Kondratiev, 94%. Crooks. Read more