Dossier on the Election in the Lab

Dossier on the election available in the Lab -a collection of election information from our site. All materials where this election is mentioned.

Election Cards

DIY Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram

The presentation of a new interactive tool

Good news for electoral observers, journalists and researchers. You have got a new and long-awaited tool, the interactive Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram.

For the first time, the number of abnormal votes can be determined by anybody, and the number can be different for each and every person.

But that's not all. Now you have at your disposal a whole set of interconnected tools for studying elections, which includes 4 versions of the Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram, both scatterplots, two High-Resolution Histogram builders and two Geographical-Administrative diagrams. This remarkable kit is accompanied by a couple of useful tables.

This detailed video tutorial will help you understand how to work with this kit, what the advantages of an integrated approach are, how the tools help each other to detect an anomaly, or how the data from one instrument confirms the data from another.

Of course, from the video, you will learn how to build the famous diagram yourself.

We'll also entertain you with a laboratory work on the Moscow region, where you can:

  • explore four ways to find an honest PECs zone
  • at your liking, calculate the number of anomalous votes in favour of the governor of the Moscow region in the range from 100 thousand to one and a half million
  • unravel the old mystery of the peaks at the integer percentages of the results of the candidates from the "party of power"
  • see with your own eyes the blood-chilling scene in which three hundred cancelled ballot papers came back to life, grew their chopped-off corners and joined the army of Mr Governor's supporters. And all this is observed in completely official data!
  • using the interactive reference table, solve the dispute between two electoral investigators
  • and even take a peek into the recent elections in Yerevan (Armenia) to envy the fair and hard-fought electoral struggle.

All elections of the regional leaders of Russia in 2023 have been loaded into the complex tool. Namely, elections in the republics of Sakha (Yakutia) and the Republic of Khakassia, in the Smolensk, Omsk, Samara, Nizhny Novgorod, Orel, Novosibirsk, Ivanovo, Pskov, Voronezh, Kemerovo, Amur, Tyumen, Magadan and Moscow regions, in the Altai, Krasnoyarsk and Primorsky Territories, in the Chukotka Autonomous District and in the city of Moscow.

You can explore all of these elections at the following link: integrated tools for gubernatorial elections in EDG-2023.

You will be able to detect anomalies in the turnout dynamics with the help of another unique tool, with the working name "turnout-scope": the Analyser of Turnout Dynamics, specially produced by us for EDG-2023. The tool allowed us to detect falsifications in the Far East, Moscow Region, and a number of other regions on the very first day of voting! It was possible to do this even before the official voting results were published. This is another of its unique features: it works on preliminary turnout reports, which commissions are used to falsify with impunity since we had not had such a tool before.

In the tutorial, we discovered falsifications in the Moscow region. You can reproduce this investigation and see the anomalies for yourself with the integrated tool for the 2023 Moscow region gubernatorial election.

You can study the Yerevan Elder Council elections, which we used for comparison, by following the links: 2017, 2018, 2023.

Print
17136
Данные для статьиfull
Laboratory support for articlefull
Dossier's Block

РФ Московская обл Губернатор 2023Армения Ереван Горсовет 2023

Theoretic depth
  • Observation
Please login or register to post comments.

Articles on the Elections

Criticism and bibliography

Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020,

Alexander Shen 0 8059

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity».

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Андрей Бузин 0 7784

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond.

It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes!

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL)

EG 0 8489

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. 
They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it.

 

RSS
First34568101112Last