Dossier on the Election in the Lab

Dossier on the election available in the Lab -a collection of election information from our site. All materials where this election is mentioned.

Election Cards

Additions to our Lab: Special tools!
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Additions to our Lab: Special tools!

We're launching a new section in our Lab: Special tools

Each instrument in the lab may be made for an individual election or group of elections. The first such instrument we offer is . The integrated statistical data analyzer specifically made for the Unified Election Day 2023, held in the Russian Federation on 8-10 September 2023. 

Each tool includes a Keisling-Shpilkin chart (in 4 options), a Scatter-plot (in two classical versions), a geographic-administrative chart for the turnout and the leader, a High-Res histogram builder for turnout and leader, a verification table to test the consistency of the dataset, and a reference table with filters for any group of DEC(s) and PEC(s).

Integration - an important feature of the new tools. For example, you yourself can now conclude the old dispute over peaks at integer percentages: Geo-Admin chart will even show you the particular PECs that produce a given peak on a High-Res histogram.

Needless to mention, all graphs are interactive. They are actual research tools, which is the speciality and the main benefit of our project.

How to detect falsifications with the help of these tools is described in the following article. in the video on the falsifications detected in the Moscow region in September 2023.

The first group of elections was the election of 21 (twenty-one!) governors in UED-23. All these treasures for the researcher you can find via this link.

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Articles on the Elections

Criticism and bibliography

Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020,

Alexander Shen 0 8059

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity».

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Андрей Бузин 0 7784

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond.

It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes!

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL)

EG 0 8489

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. 
They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it.

 

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