Dossier on the Election in the Lab

Dossier on the election available in the Lab -a collection of election information from our site. All materials where this election is mentioned.

Election Cards

Russia, Kostroma region, Governor 2020

electoral card

 

Official title:

Election of the governor of the Kostroma region

Winner/leader:

Sergei Sitnikov

Wikipedia article:

Выборы губернатора Костромской области (2020)

 

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Original data source:The CEC of Russia
URL of the source:www.kostroma.vybory.izbirkom.ru/region/region/kostroma?action=show&root=1&tvd=24420001040686&vrn=24420001040682®ion=44&global=&sub_region=0&prver=0&pronetvd=null&vibid=24420001040686&type=234
Data validation filescreenshot.zip
ParsingShpilkin
Dataset:Kostroma Governor 2020.zip
Date of verification10/2/2020
Verification of the dataset with the source:

Reconciliation result: Discrepancy of 79 registered voters, 40 ballots (no digital PECs).

Digital PECs were not included in Shpilkin parsing in 2020.

Credibility of captcha The CEC created obstacles for data collection and data analysis by captcha.

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Articles on the Elections

Criticism and bibliography

Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020,

Alexander Shen 0 8237

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity».

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Андрей Бузин 0 7962

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond.

It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes!

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL)

EG 0 8744

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. 
They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it.

 

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