Dossier on the Election in the Lab

Dossier on the election available in the Lab -a collection of election information from our site. All materials where this election is mentioned.

Election Cards

Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019

Natalia Z. The most suspicious elections 2019

Homework from Natalia Z. for the Visualizing Democracy course

 
Laborator's note:

Natalia has a keen eye! She has discerned valid coincidences between the results in TEC "Nevel ship" and similar TECs in Sakhalin. But as in the case with the Murmansk Ship Commissions, such coincidence has a natural origin. Thus, the graphs obtained in our Laboratory show that the number of voters at the suspicious PECs is 17:

Image

While the number of votes for Limarenko is 10. 17, perhaps, is a standard collective of a fishing trawler. And 10 is a coincidence, rare, but not "impossible" with a collective of 17 people. 

Image

The coincidence of results on small collectives of a dozen or two people is mathematical in nature, while the coincidence on PECs with 1,000-2,000 voters is human. 

Small collectives can be calculated both by name, e.g., "ship" and by constructing a graph, e.g., Gabdulvaleev.

The mathematical nature of the phenomenon called "integer fractions". So by constructing a graph, such as Gabdulvaleev's.

The mathematical nature of the phenomenon called "integer fractions" is clear from the fact that the results are exactly the same. It could be 3/5, 7/12, or, as in our case, 10/17.

I have no other comments on Natalia's work. Gabdulvaleev's necklace at the TEC "Ufa Ordzhonikidzevskaya" a fine and beautifully presented booty. 

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RF Unified E-Day 2019

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Documents to download

  • Homework(.pdf, 1.98 MB) - 1967 download(s)

    Домашняя работа

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Articles on the Elections

Criticism and bibliography

Borisov I.B., Zadorin I.V., Ignatov A.V., Marachevsky V.N., Fedorov V.I., Mathematical tools of election delegitimization. Report of the Russian Public Institute of Electoral Law. Moscow, 2020,

Alexander Shen 0 8063

The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and assume that so far the conclusions about falsifications are based on the deviation from «Gaussianity».

Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

Андрей Бузин 0 7786

Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare them a state secret for disclosure of which one can get 10 years. And for the use of the Gauss function, we should deprive them of the right to correspond.

It is time to fight back against the mathematicians who are invading our social processes!

Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

Report of the Russian Public Institute for Electoral Law (RPIEL)

EG 0 8494

3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. 
They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an assessment of electoral behavior and voting outcomes" and reduced everything to a "political struggle". We suggest to read how convincingly and reasonably they did it.

 

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