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Tuesday, December 24, 2024
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Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the Results of the Constitutional Referendum in the Republic of Armenia"

Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the Results of the Constitutional Referendum in the Republic of Armenia"
Roman Udot
/ Categories: Armenia, Yerevan, Unimodality, Dependence of results on the turnout, Retrospective Analysis, Impact of Observers, Geographical Anomalies, I Round Table

Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the Results of the Constitutional Referendum in the Republic of Armenia"

Presentation at the I Round Table of Mathematicians

Roman Udot "Statistical analysis of the results of the constitutional referendum in the Republic of Armenia"

Conclusion: official results contradict the real will of citizens.

 
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Tags: FalsificationsArmenia Referendum 2015
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Выборы в статье

Armenia Referendum 2015

Details

Summary of the Referendum Election Armenia in 2015
Wikipedia article.

For you, researchers:

Electoral data is available for download and independent analysis.

Data report

Original data source:CEC of the Republic of Armenia
URL of the source:res.elections.am
Data validation file06.12.15n.pdf
Dataset:Preliminary results at 4-391.xlsx
Verification of the dataset with the source:

There is no need for verification because official data and the dataset are of a single source.

in the Lab

Documents to download

More links

Electoral Dossier

In the dossier

  • Sergei Shpilkin "Statistical Analysis of Elections"
  • Roman Udot "Referendum in Armenia 2015 in Numbers and Diagrams"
  • Roman Udot "Statistical Analysis of the Results of the Constitutional Referendum in the Republic of Armenia"

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Good news for electoral observers, journalists and election investigators. You have a new and long-awaited tool - the interactive Kiesling-Shpilkin diagram. This detailed video lesson will help you understand how to work with this kit, what the advantages of an integrated approach are, how the tools help each other to detect an anomaly, or how the findings of one tool confirm the findings of...
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Criticism and bibliography Criticism and bibliography

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The peer-reviewed paper again raises the question about the incorrectness of the statistical analysis. But it is based on a misunderstanding: the authors rightly point out and confirm with numerous examples that the histograms of elections may well be very different from the «Gaussian» even in the absence of falsifications. Probably, they have not seen the works mentioned above and...
Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections" Review of the ROIPP report "Mathematical Tools for Delegitimizing Elections"

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Yes, something must be done with our society, which «still has some flaws». It is very gullible and therefore prefers Shpilkin to Borisov. But it is necessary to implement a number of measures to remove distrust in the procedures for establishing the results of voting». It is possible, for example, to establish not only a captcha for obtaining these results, but to declare...
Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report Mathematical tools for delegitimizing elections. Report

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3 сентября 2020 года на сайте Российского общественного института избирательного права (РОИИП) был опубликован доклад "Математические инструменты делегитимации выборов". In it, the authors criticized one of the methods of analysis: unimodality. They concluded that "with existing methods of mathematical analysis it is impossible to describe and make an...
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